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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio 100,000 times. Deportivo Armenio won 36,561 of them (36.6%), the draw came up 34.5% of the time and Defensores Unidos won 28.9%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 17.7%, while the likeliest Deportivo Armenio win is 0-1 (15.2%). Both teams score in 35.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 34.5% and gave this exact score 17.7%.
| Defensores Unidos win | 28.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.5% |
| Deportivo Armenio win | 36.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (17.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.83 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 35.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 10.9% |
| Defensores Unidos score first | 37% |
| Deportivo Armenio score first | 45.5% |
| Defensores Unidos clean sheet | 38.3% |
| Deportivo Armenio clean sheet | 44% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503622 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Deportivo Armenio are favourites. They win 36.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.5% for the draw and 28.9% for Defensores Unidos. Including the draw, Deportivo Armenio avoid defeat 71.1% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 17.7% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (15.2%) and 1-1 (14%). The likeliest Deportivo Armenio win is 0-1 (15.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.4% of simulations. Defensores Unidos keep a clean sheet 38.3% of the time and Deportivo Armenio 44%.
The simulations average 1.79 goals: 0.83 for Defensores Unidos and 0.97 for Deportivo Armenio. Over 1.5 goals lands 54.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 26.8% and over 3.5 goals 10.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.