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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Denmark U19 vs Italy U19 100,000 times. Italy U19 won 52,653 of them (52.7%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and Denmark U19 won 22.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Italy U19 win is 0-1 (10.8%). Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.1% and gave this exact score 7.4%.
| Denmark U19 win | 22.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Italy U19 win | 52.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 1.69 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% |
| Denmark U19 score first | 34.2% |
| Italy U19 score first | 58.7% |
| Denmark U19 clean sheet | 18.8% |
| Italy U19 clean sheet | 36.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420573007 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Italy U19 are favourites. They win 52.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 22.2% for Denmark U19. Including the draw, Italy U19 avoid defeat 77.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.8%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest Italy U19 win is 0-1 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52% of simulations. Denmark U19 keep a clean sheet 18.8% of the time and Italy U19 36.7%.
The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.01 for Denmark U19 and 1.69 for Italy U19. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.5% and over 3.5 goals 28.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.