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Liga BetPlay · 100,000 simulations

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction

We simulated Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto 100,000 times. Deportes Tolima won 69,167 of them (69.2%), the draw came up 21.4% of the time and Deportivo Pasto won 9.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.6%), and both teams score in 39.6% of simulations.

Deportes Tolima badge
Deportes Tolima Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
0–1 Full time
Deportivo Pasto badge
Deportivo Pasto Away
69.2% 69,167 wins
21.4% Draw
9.5% 9,481 wins
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.60
Likeliest score
2-0 14.6%
Both score
39.6%
Over 2.5
47.9%

Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Deportivo Pasto winning 9.5% and gave this exact score 3.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto live score, stats & lineups

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga BetPlay · Monday 26 October, 01:15

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto simulation probabilities
Deportes Tolima win69.2%
Draw21.4%
Deportivo Pasto win9.5%
Most likely score2-0 (14.6%)
Expected goals2.00 – 0.60
Both teams to score39.6%
Over 1.5 goals73.7%
Over 2.5 goals47.9%
Over 3.5 goals26.5%
Deportes Tolima score first71.2%
Deportivo Pasto score first20.7%
Deportes Tolima clean sheet54.9%
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet14%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420567284
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction FAQs

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportes Tolima are favourites. They win 69.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.4% for the draw and 9.5% for Deportivo Pasto. Including the draw, Deportes Tolima avoid defeat 90.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

2-0, which came up in 14.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14%) and 1-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Both teams score in 39.6% of simulations. Deportes Tolima keep a clean sheet 54.9% of the time and Deportivo Pasto 14%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

The simulations average 2.60 goals: 2.00 for Deportes Tolima and 0.60 for Deportivo Pasto. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.9% and over 3.5 goals 26.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.