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Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa prediction

We simulated Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa 100,000 times. Deportivo La Guaira won 44,644 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 28.5% of the time and Portuguesa won 26.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win is 1-0 (11.1%). Both teams score in 49.8% of simulations.

Deportivo La Guaira badge
Deportivo La Guaira Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
2–2 Full time
Portuguesa badge
Portuguesa Away
44.6% 44,644 wins
28.5% Draw
26.8% 26,824 wins
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.05
Likeliest score
1-1 13.4% Top DLG win: 1-0 11.1%
Both score
49.8%
Over 2.5
44.8%

Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 28.5% and gave this exact score 4.6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa live score, stats & lineups

Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Sunday 1 November, 23:30

Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa simulation probabilities
Deportivo La Guaira win44.6%
Draw28.5%
Portuguesa win26.8%
Most likely score1-1 (13.4%)
Expected goals1.42 – 1.05
Both teams to score49.8%
Over 1.5 goals71.4%
Over 2.5 goals44.8%
Over 3.5 goals23.7%
Deportivo La Guaira score first51.4%
Portuguesa score first38.5%
Deportivo La Guaira clean sheet35.5%
Portuguesa clean sheet24.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420739476
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa prediction FAQs

Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?

Deportivo La Guaira are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.5% for the draw and 26.8% for Portuguesa. Including the draw, Deportivo La Guaira avoid defeat 73.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?

1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.1%) and 0-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win is 1-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?

Both teams score in 49.8% of simulations. Deportivo La Guaira keep a clean sheet 35.5% of the time and Portuguesa 24.5%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa?

The simulations average 2.47 goals: 1.42 for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.05 for Portuguesa. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.8% and over 3.5 goals 23.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.