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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro 100,000 times. Deportivo Maldonado won 64,829 of them (64.8%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Cerro won 14.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.2%), and both teams score in 47.3% of simulations.
| Deportivo Maldonado win | 64.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Cerro win | 14.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.99 – 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 47.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.7% |
| Deportivo Maldonado score first | 64.2% |
| Cerro score first | 29.3% |
| Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet | 45.1% |
| Cerro clean sheet | 14.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420744080 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Deportivo Maldonado are favourites. They win 64.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 14.3% for Cerro. Including the draw, Deportivo Maldonado avoid defeat 85.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12%) and 1-1 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations. Deportivo Maldonado keep a clean sheet 45.1% of the time and Cerro 14.1%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.99 for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.80 for Cerro. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.7% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.