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  1. Simulations
  2. Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué
Primera B Metropolitana · 100,000 simulations

Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué prediction

We simulated Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué 100,000 times. The draw was the most common result at 38.4%, with Deportivo Merlo on 29.5% and Brown de Adrogué on 32.1%. The most likely score is 0-0 (19.1%), and both teams score in 38.7% of simulations.

Deportivo Merlo badge
Deportivo Merlo Estadio José Manuel Moreno
0–0 Full time
Brown de Adrogué badge
Brown de Adrogué Away
29.5% 29,536 wins
38.4% Draw
32.1% 32,116 wins
Expected goals
0.89 – 0.94
Likeliest score
0-0 19.1%
Both score
38.7%
Over 2.5
28%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 38.4% and gave this exact score 19.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Gastón Iglesias Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín
Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué live score, stats & lineups

Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Metropolitana · Monday 5 October, 23:00

Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué simulation probabilities
Deportivo Merlo win29.5%
Draw38.4%
Brown de Adrogué win32.1%
Most likely score0-0 (19.1%)
Expected goals0.89 – 0.94
Both teams to score38.7%
Over 1.5 goals57.6%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals11.6%
Deportivo Merlo score first40.2%
Brown de Adrogué score first40.8%
Deportivo Merlo clean sheet39.3%
Brown de Adrogué clean sheet41.2%
Football simulation API

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Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué prediction FAQs

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué?

Brown de Adrogué are favourites. They win 32.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 38.4% for the draw and 29.5% for Deportivo Merlo. Including the draw, Brown de Adrogué avoid defeat 70.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué?

0-0, which came up in 19.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (16.1%) and 0-1 (12%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué?

Both teams score in 38.7% of simulations. Deportivo Merlo keep a clean sheet 39.3% of the time and Brown de Adrogué 41.2%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Merlo vs Brown de Adrogué?

The simulations average 1.84 goals: 0.89 for Deportivo Merlo and 0.94 for Brown de Adrogué. Over 1.5 goals lands 57.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 28% and over 3.5 goals 11.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.