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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Deportivo Morón vs Ciudad de Bolívar 100,000 times. Deportivo Morón won 54,800 of them (54.8%), the draw came up 26.9% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar won 18.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.5%), and both teams score in 36.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Deportivo Morón winning 54.8% and gave this exact score 12.2%.
| Deportivo Morón win | 54.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.9% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar win | 18.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (17.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 0.68 |
| Both teams to score | 36.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.3% |
| Deportivo Morón score first | 59.3% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar score first | 28.4% |
| Deportivo Morón clean sheet | 50.8% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar clean sheet | 24.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503095 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Deportivo Morón are favourites. They win 54.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.9% for the draw and 18.3% for Ciudad de Bolívar. Including the draw, Deportivo Morón avoid defeat 81.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 17.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.3%) and 2-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36.9% of simulations. Deportivo Morón keep a clean sheet 50.8% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar 24.6%.
The simulations average 2.10 goals: 1.42 for Deportivo Morón and 0.68 for Ciudad de Bolívar. Over 1.5 goals lands 61.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35% and over 3.5 goals 16.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.