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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir 100,000 times. El Porvenir won 44,877 of them (44.9%), the draw came up 30.2% of the time and Deportivo Muñiz won 25%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.3%, while the likeliest El Porvenir win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Deportivo Muñiz winning 25% and gave this exact score 1.9%.
| Deportivo Muñiz win | 25% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.2% |
| El Porvenir win | 44.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.2% |
| Deportivo Muñiz score first | 36.7% |
| El Porvenir score first | 53.7% |
| Deportivo Muñiz clean sheet | 22% |
| El Porvenir clean sheet | 33.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510374 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
El Porvenir are favourites. They win 44.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.2% for the draw and 25% for Deportivo Muñiz. Including the draw, El Porvenir avoid defeat 75% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest El Porvenir win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Deportivo Muñiz keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and El Porvenir 33.7%.
The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.10 for Deportivo Muñiz and 1.53 for El Porvenir. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.8% and over 3.5 goals 27.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.