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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Desamparados vs Pitbulls 100,000 times. Desamparados won 48,832 of them (48.8%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Pitbulls won 25.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Desamparados win is 1-0 (9.6%). Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Desamparados winning 48.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Desamparados win | 48.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Pitbulls win | 25.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 55.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.9% |
| Desamparados score first | 58.9% |
| Pitbulls score first | 34.3% |
| Desamparados clean sheet | 32.3% |
| Pitbulls clean sheet | 19.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599337 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Desamparados are favourites. They win 48.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 25.9% for Pitbulls. Including the draw, Desamparados avoid defeat 74.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest Desamparados win is 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations. Desamparados keep a clean sheet 32.3% of the time and Pitbulls 19.4%.
The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.66 for Desamparados and 1.14 for Pitbulls. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.