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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 100,000 times. Dinamo Minsk won 81,951 of them (82%), the draw came up 11.8% of the time and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won 6.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.9%), and both teams score in 42.5% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Dinamo Minsk winning 82% and gave this exact score 12.9%.
| Dinamo Minsk win | 82% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.8% |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win | 6.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.77 – 0.62 |
| Both teams to score | 42.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.8% |
| Dinamo Minsk score first | 77% |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk score first | 19.6% |
| Dinamo Minsk clean sheet | 54.1% |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk clean sheet | 6.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420532148 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dinamo Minsk are favourites. They win 82% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.8% for the draw and 6.3% for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. Including the draw, Dinamo Minsk avoid defeat 93.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.5% of simulations. Dinamo Minsk keep a clean sheet 54.1% of the time and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 6.6%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 2.77 for Dinamo Minsk and 0.62 for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.3% and over 3.5 goals 43.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.