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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Dover Athletic vs Wealdstone 100,000 times. Wealdstone won 47,110 of them (47.1%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Dover Athletic won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Wealdstone win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Dover Athletic winning 28.7% and gave this exact score 3.8%.
| Dover Athletic win | 28.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Wealdstone win | 47.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.3% |
| Dover Athletic score first | 42.1% |
| Wealdstone score first | 52.9% |
| Dover Athletic clean sheet | 16.1% |
| Wealdstone clean sheet | 24.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739308 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wealdstone are favourites. They win 47.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 28.7% for Dover Athletic. Including the draw, Wealdstone avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Wealdstone win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations. Dover Athletic keep a clean sheet 16.1% of the time and Wealdstone 24.8%.
The simulations average 3.27 goals: 1.41 for Dover Athletic and 1.86 for Wealdstone. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.2% and over 3.5 goals 41.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.