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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Drøbak / Frogn vs Ørn Horten 100,000 times. Drøbak / Frogn won 49,359 of them (49.4%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Ørn Horten won 27.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.6%, while the likeliest Drøbak / Frogn win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 70% of simulations.
| Drøbak / Frogn win | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Ørn Horten win | 27.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.12 – 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.9% |
| Drøbak / Frogn score first | 57.7% |
| Ørn Horten score first | 38.2% |
| Drøbak / Frogn clean sheet | 21.5% |
| Ørn Horten clean sheet | 12.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420546204 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Drøbak / Frogn are favourites. They win 49.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 27.4% for Ørn Horten. Including the draw, Drøbak / Frogn avoid defeat 72.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Drøbak / Frogn win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70% of simulations. Drøbak / Frogn keep a clean sheet 21.5% of the time and Ørn Horten 12.5%.
The simulations average 3.68 goals: 2.12 for Drøbak / Frogn and 1.56 for Ørn Horten. Over 1.5 goals lands 89% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.6% and over 3.5 goals 49.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.