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Ireland Premier Division · 100,000 simulations

Dundalk vs Galway United prediction

We simulated Dundalk vs Galway United 100,000 times. Dundalk won 53,413 of them (53.4%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Galway United won 23%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Dundalk win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.

Dundalk badge
Dundalk Oriel Park
1–2 Full time
Galway United badge
Galway United Away
53.4% 53,413 wins
23.6% Draw
23% 23,024 wins
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.20
Likeliest score
1-1 10.8% Top Dundalk win: 2-1 9.6%
Both score
59.8%
Over 2.5
60.1%

Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Galway United winning 23% and gave this exact score 6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Mark Houlihan Oriel Park, Dundalk
Dundalk vs Galway United live score, stats & lineups

Dundalk vs Galway United in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ireland Premier Division · Friday 21 August, 19:45

Dundalk vs Galway United simulation probabilities
Dundalk win53.4%
Draw23.6%
Galway United win23%
Most likely score1-1 (10.8%)
Expected goals1.93 – 1.20
Both teams to score59.8%
Over 1.5 goals82.2%
Over 2.5 goals60.1%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Dundalk score first60.3%
Galway United score first34.1%
Dundalk clean sheet30.5%
Galway United clean sheet15%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420498388
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Dundalk vs Galway United prediction FAQs

Who will win Dundalk vs Galway United?

Dundalk are favourites. They win 53.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 23% for Galway United. Including the draw, Dundalk avoid defeat 77% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Dundalk vs Galway United?

1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Dundalk win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Galway United?

Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. Dundalk keep a clean sheet 30.5% of the time and Galway United 15%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Galway United?

The simulations average 3.12 goals: 1.93 for Dundalk and 1.20 for Galway United. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.