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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Dundee United vs Motherwell 100,000 times. Dundee United won 46,682 of them (46.7%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Motherwell won 28.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Dundee United win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations.
| Dundee United win | 46.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| Motherwell win | 28.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Dundee United score first | 56.1% |
| Motherwell score first | 39.1% |
| Dundee United clean sheet | 24.7% |
| Motherwell clean sheet | 16.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599130 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dundee United are favourites. They win 46.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 28.8% for Motherwell. Including the draw, Dundee United avoid defeat 71.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Dundee United win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations. Dundee United keep a clean sheet 24.7% of the time and Motherwell 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.84 for Dundee United and 1.41 for Motherwell. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.