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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo 100,000 times. Durango won 50,839 of them (50.8%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Cruz Azul Hidalgo won 21.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Durango win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Durango winning 50.8% and gave this exact score 9.3%.
| Durango win | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo win | 21.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.3% |
| Durango score first | 56.6% |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo score first | 34.7% |
| Durango clean sheet | 35.9% |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo clean sheet | 18.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420587045 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Durango are favourites. They win 50.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 21.5% for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Including the draw, Durango avoid defeat 78.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest Durango win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations. Durango keep a clean sheet 35.9% of the time and Cruz Azul Hidalgo 18.8%.
The simulations average 2.73 goals: 1.69 for Durango and 1.04 for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.2% and over 3.5 goals 29.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.