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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Durham W vs Manchester United W 100,000 times. Manchester United W won 97,499 of them (97.5%), the draw came up 2.2% of the time and Durham W won 0.3%. The most likely score is 0-5 (11.6%), and both teams score in 31.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Manchester United W winning 97.5% and gave this exact score 4.5%.
| Durham W win | 0.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 2.2% |
| Manchester United W win | 97.5% |
| Most likely score | 0-5 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.39 – 5.26 |
| Both teams to score | 31.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Durham W score first | 7.1% |
| Manchester United W score first | 92.3% |
| Durham W clean sheet | 0.7% |
| Manchester United W clean sheet | 68.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684369 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Manchester United W are favourites. They win 97.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 2.2% for the draw and 0.3% for Durham W. Including the draw, Manchester United W avoid defeat 99.7% of the time.
0-5, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (11.3%) and 0-6 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 31.9% of simulations. Durham W keep a clean sheet 0.7% of the time and Manchester United W 68.1%.
The simulations average 5.64 goals: 0.39 for Durham W and 5.26 for Manchester United W. Over 1.5 goals lands 97.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 90.8% and over 3.5 goals 79.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.