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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 100,000 times. Dynamo Dresden won 51,973 of them (52%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 23.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Dynamo Dresden win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
| Dynamo Dresden win | 52% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth win | 23.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.9% |
| Dynamo Dresden score first | 63.3% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth score first | 31% |
| Dynamo Dresden clean sheet | 31% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet | 16.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420610004 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dynamo Dresden are favourites. They win 52% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 23.8% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Including the draw, Dynamo Dresden avoid defeat 76.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Dynamo Dresden keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 1.84 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.18 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58% and over 3.5 goals 35.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.