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ASEAN Championship · 100,000 simulations

East Timor vs Indonesia prediction

We simulated East Timor vs Indonesia 100,000 times. Indonesia won 97,722 of them (97.7%), the draw came up 2.1% of the time and East Timor won 0.2%. The most likely score is 0-5 (12.2%), and both teams score in 28.5% of simulations.

East Timor badge
East Timor Chonburi Daikin Stadium (Chonburi)
0–3 Full time
Indonesia badge
Indonesia Away
0.2% 227 wins
2.1% Draw
97.7% 97,722 wins
Expected goals
0.34 – 5.28
Likeliest score
0-5 12.2%
Both score
28.5%
Over 2.5
90.6%

Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Indonesia winning 97.7% and gave this exact score 9.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Hyun-Jae Choi Chonburi Daikin Stadium (Chonburi), Chonburi
East Timor vs Indonesia live score, stats & lineups

East Timor vs Indonesia in numbers 100,000 simulations · ASEAN Championship · Friday 31 July, 11:00

East Timor vs Indonesia simulation probabilities
East Timor win0.2%
Draw2.1%
Indonesia win97.7%
Most likely score0-5 (12.2%)
Expected goals0.34 – 5.28
Both teams to score28.5%
Over 1.5 goals97.2%
Over 2.5 goals90.6%
Over 3.5 goals79.2%
East Timor score first6.4%
Indonesia score first92.9%
East Timor clean sheet0.7%
Indonesia clean sheet71.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420567671
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

East Timor vs Indonesia prediction FAQs

Who will win East Timor vs Indonesia?

Indonesia are favourites. They win 97.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 2.1% for the draw and 0.2% for East Timor. Including the draw, Indonesia avoid defeat 99.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in East Timor vs Indonesia?

0-5, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (11.8%) and 0-6 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in East Timor vs Indonesia?

Both teams score in 28.5% of simulations. East Timor keep a clean sheet 0.7% of the time and Indonesia 71.5%.

How many goals will there be in East Timor vs Indonesia?

The simulations average 5.61 goals: 0.34 for East Timor and 5.28 for Indonesia. Over 1.5 goals lands 97.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 90.6% and over 3.5 goals 79.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.