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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ebbs vs Kitzbühel 100,000 times. Kitzbühel won 74,080 of them (74.1%), the draw came up 13.6% of the time and Ebbs won 12.3%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.1%), and both teams score in 64.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Kitzbühel winning 74.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Ebbs win | 12.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.6% |
| Kitzbühel win | 74.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 2.98 |
| Both teams to score | 64.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.9% |
| Ebbs score first | 27% |
| Kitzbühel score first | 71.5% |
| Ebbs clean sheet | 5.4% |
| Kitzbühel clean sheet | 31.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420574673 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kitzbühel are favourites. They win 74.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.6% for the draw and 12.3% for Ebbs. Including the draw, Kitzbühel avoid defeat 87.7% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.1% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.3% of simulations. Ebbs keep a clean sheet 5.4% of the time and Kitzbühel 31.8%.
The simulations average 4.14 goals: 1.16 for Ebbs and 2.98 for Kitzbühel. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.6% and over 3.5 goals 58.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.