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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated El Palmar vs Atlético Pulpileño 100,000 times. Atlético Pulpileño won 49,403 of them (49.4%), the draw came up 29% of the time and El Palmar won 21.6%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.6%), and both teams score in 44.2% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 29% and gave this exact score 11.5%.
| El Palmar win | 21.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29% |
| Atlético Pulpileño win | 49.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.85 – 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.8% |
| El Palmar score first | 37.1% |
| Atlético Pulpileño score first | 51.6% |
| El Palmar clean sheet | 24.4% |
| Atlético Pulpileño clean sheet | 42.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/384638384 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Pulpileño are favourites. They win 49.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29% for the draw and 21.6% for El Palmar. Including the draw, Atlético Pulpileño avoid defeat 78.4% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.2% of simulations. El Palmar keep a clean sheet 24.4% of the time and Atlético Pulpileño 42.9%.
The simulations average 2.28 goals: 0.85 for El Palmar and 1.43 for Atlético Pulpileño. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.8% and over 3.5 goals 19.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.