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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated England U21 vs Slovakia U21 100,000 times. England U21 won 75,397 of them (75.4%), the draw came up 15% of the time and Slovakia U21 won 9.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.1%), and both teams score in 50.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 15% and gave this exact score 3.5%.
| England U21 win | 75.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15% |
| Slovakia U21 win | 9.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.60 – 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 50.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.2% |
| England U21 score first | 72.9% |
| Slovakia U21 score first | 23.7% |
| England U21 clean sheet | 44.8% |
| Slovakia U21 clean sheet | 7.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/314882429 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
England U21 are favourites. They win 75.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15% for the draw and 9.7% for Slovakia U21. Including the draw, England U21 avoid defeat 90.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations. England U21 keep a clean sheet 44.8% of the time and Slovakia U21 7.8%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 2.60 for England U21 and 0.81 for Slovakia U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.7% and over 3.5 goals 44.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.