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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK 100,000 times. Erzurumspor FK won 39,102 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 28.7% of the time and Çorum FK won 32.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Erzurumspor FK win is 1-0 (9.1%). Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.
| Erzurumspor FK win | 39.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.7% |
| Çorum FK win | 32.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.4% |
| Erzurumspor FK score first | 48.6% |
| Çorum FK score first | 42.4% |
| Erzurumspor FK clean sheet | 29.8% |
| Çorum FK clean sheet | 25.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643095 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Erzurumspor FK are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.7% for the draw and 32.2% for Çorum FK. Including the draw, Erzurumspor FK avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.1%) and 0-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Erzurumspor FK win is 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Erzurumspor FK keep a clean sheet 29.8% of the time and Çorum FK 25.7%.
The simulations average 2.60 goals: 1.37 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.22 for Çorum FK. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.9% and over 3.5 goals 26.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.