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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated ES Tunis vs Asswehly 100,000 times. ES Tunis won 80,214 of them (80.2%), the draw came up 13.3% of the time and Asswehly won 6.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.8%), and both teams score in 37.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had ES Tunis winning 80.2% and gave this exact score 12.4%.
| ES Tunis win | 80.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.3% |
| Asswehly win | 6.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.51 – 0.54 |
| Both teams to score | 37.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.2% |
| ES Tunis score first | 80.3% |
| Asswehly score first | 14.8% |
| ES Tunis clean sheet | 58.6% |
| Asswehly clean sheet | 8.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420719898 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
ES Tunis are favourites. They win 80.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.3% for the draw and 6.5% for Asswehly. Including the draw, ES Tunis avoid defeat 93.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.4%) and 3-0 (12.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 37.5% of simulations. ES Tunis keep a clean sheet 58.6% of the time and Asswehly 8.6%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 2.51 for ES Tunis and 0.54 for Asswehly. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.2% and over 3.5 goals 36.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.