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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Esbjerg vs Fredericia 100,000 times. Fredericia won 60,527 of them (60.5%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Esbjerg won 18.9%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.6%), and both teams score in 60.5% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Esbjerg winning 18.9% and gave this exact score 5.1%.
| Esbjerg win | 18.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Fredericia win | 60.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.15 – 2.20 |
| Both teams to score | 60.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.9% |
| Esbjerg score first | 36.9% |
| Fredericia score first | 59.1% |
| Esbjerg clean sheet | 11.5% |
| Fredericia clean sheet | 32% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420585214 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fredericia are favourites. They win 60.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 18.9% for Esbjerg. Including the draw, Fredericia avoid defeat 81.1% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations. Esbjerg keep a clean sheet 11.5% of the time and Fredericia 32%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 1.15 for Esbjerg and 2.20 for Fredericia. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.6% and over 3.5 goals 42.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.