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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Espanyol vs Sabadell 100,000 times. Espanyol won 71,166 of them (71.2%), the draw came up 17.8% of the time and Sabadell won 11%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13.5%), and both teams score in 42.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 17.8% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Espanyol win | 71.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.8% |
| Sabadell win | 11% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.14 – 0.68 |
| Both teams to score | 42.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.3% |
| Espanyol score first | 72.8% |
| Sabadell score first | 21.5% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 50.9% |
| Sabadell clean sheet | 12.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420572563 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Espanyol are favourites. They win 71.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.8% for the draw and 11% for Sabadell. Including the draw, Espanyol avoid defeat 89% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.1%) and 3-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.8% of simulations. Espanyol keep a clean sheet 50.9% of the time and Sabadell 12.2%.
The simulations average 2.82 goals: 2.14 for Espanyol and 0.68 for Sabadell. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.3% and over 3.5 goals 31.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.