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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Esperança d'Andorra vs Sporting Escaldes 100,000 times. Esperança d'Andorra won 61,563 of them (61.6%), the draw came up 19.5% of the time and Sporting Escaldes won 18.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.7%), and both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Full time 5-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Esperança d'Andorra winning 61.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Esperança d'Andorra win | 61.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.5% |
| Sporting Escaldes win | 18.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.4% |
| Esperança d'Andorra score first | 64.1% |
| Sporting Escaldes score first | 32.1% |
| Esperança d'Andorra clean sheet | 35.3% |
| Sporting Escaldes clean sheet | 12.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420704399 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Esperança d'Andorra are favourites. They win 61.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.5% for the draw and 18.9% for Sporting Escaldes. Including the draw, Esperança d'Andorra avoid defeat 81.1% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Esperança d'Andorra keep a clean sheet 35.3% of the time and Sporting Escaldes 12.7%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 2.09 for Esperança d'Andorra and 1.05 for Sporting Escaldes. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.