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We simulated Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario 100,000 times. Estrella del Sur won 50,317 of them (50.3%), the draw came up 29.9% of the time and Argentino Rosario won 19.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.3%), and both teams score in 40.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Estrella del Sur winning 50.3% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Estrella del Sur win | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.9% |
| Argentino Rosario win | 19.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (15.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 40.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.7% |
| Estrella del Sur score first | 56.2% |
| Argentino Rosario score first | 30.6% |
| Estrella del Sur clean sheet | 47.2% |
| Argentino Rosario clean sheet | 25.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510528 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Estrella del Sur are favourites. They win 50.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.9% for the draw and 19.8% for Argentino Rosario. Including the draw, Estrella del Sur avoid defeat 80.2% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 15.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.2%) and 1-1 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.2% of simulations. Estrella del Sur keep a clean sheet 47.2% of the time and Argentino Rosario 25.8%.
The simulations average 2.12 goals: 1.37 for Estrella del Sur and 0.76 for Argentino Rosario. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.7% and over 3.5 goals 16.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.