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Primera C · 100,000 simulations

Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario prediction

We simulated Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario 100,000 times. Estrella del Sur won 50,317 of them (50.3%), the draw came up 29.9% of the time and Argentino Rosario won 19.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.3%), and both teams score in 40.2% of simulations.

Estrella del Sur badge
Estrella del Sur Home
2–1 Full time
Argentino Rosario badge
Argentino Rosario Away
50.3% 50,317 wins
29.9% Draw
19.8% 19,804 wins
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.76
Likeliest score
1-0 15.3%
Both score
40.2%
Over 2.5
35.7%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Estrella del Sur winning 50.3% and gave this exact score 8.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated
Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario live score, stats & lineups

Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera C · Saturday 26 September, 19:00

Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario simulation probabilities
Estrella del Sur win50.3%
Draw29.9%
Argentino Rosario win19.8%
Most likely score1-0 (15.3%)
Expected goals1.37 – 0.76
Both teams to score40.2%
Over 1.5 goals63.4%
Over 2.5 goals35.7%
Over 3.5 goals16.7%
Estrella del Sur score first56.2%
Argentino Rosario score first30.6%
Estrella del Sur clean sheet47.2%
Argentino Rosario clean sheet25.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420510528
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario prediction FAQs

Who will win Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario?

Estrella del Sur are favourites. They win 50.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.9% for the draw and 19.8% for Argentino Rosario. Including the draw, Estrella del Sur avoid defeat 80.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario?

1-0, which came up in 15.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.2%) and 1-1 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario?

Both teams score in 40.2% of simulations. Estrella del Sur keep a clean sheet 47.2% of the time and Argentino Rosario 25.8%.

How many goals will there be in Estrella del Sur vs Argentino Rosario?

The simulations average 2.12 goals: 1.37 for Estrella del Sur and 0.76 for Argentino Rosario. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.7% and over 3.5 goals 16.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.