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We simulated Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 100,000 times. Middlesbrough U21 won 42,837 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and Everton U21 won 34.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest Middlesbrough U21 win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Everton U21 winning 34.5% and gave this exact score 7.6%.
| Everton U21 win | 34.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| Middlesbrough U21 win | 42.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.59 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 65.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.5% |
| Everton U21 score first | 47.7% |
| Middlesbrough U21 score first | 48.6% |
| Everton U21 clean sheet | 17.2% |
| Middlesbrough U21 clean sheet | 20.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420663616 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Middlesbrough U21 are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 34.5% for Everton U21. Including the draw, Middlesbrough U21 avoid defeat 65.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Middlesbrough U21 win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations. Everton U21 keep a clean sheet 17.2% of the time and Middlesbrough U21 20.9%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 1.59 for Everton U21 and 1.79 for Middlesbrough U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.2% and over 3.5 goals 43.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.