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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano 100,000 times. Excursionistas won 68,647 of them (68.7%), the draw came up 20.9% of the time and Sportivo Italiano won 10.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.6%), and both teams score in 33.9% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Excursionistas winning 68.7% and gave this exact score 4.4%.
| Excursionistas win | 68.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.9% |
| Sportivo Italiano win | 10.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (17.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.82 – 0.53 |
| Both teams to score | 33.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.2% |
| Excursionistas score first | 68% |
| Sportivo Italiano score first | 22.4% |
| Excursionistas clean sheet | 59% |
| Sportivo Italiano clean sheet | 16.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503615 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Excursionistas are favourites. They win 68.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.9% for the draw and 10.5% for Sportivo Italiano. Including the draw, Excursionistas avoid defeat 89.5% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 17.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.6%) and 0-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 33.9% of simulations. Excursionistas keep a clean sheet 59% of the time and Sportivo Italiano 16.6%.
The simulations average 2.35 goals: 1.82 for Excursionistas and 0.53 for Sportivo Italiano. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.6% and over 3.5 goals 21.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.