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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Express FC vs UPDF 100,000 times. Express FC won 45,140 of them (45.1%), the draw came up 29.8% of the time and UPDF won 25.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.9%), and both teams score in 43.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had UPDF winning 25.1% and gave this exact score 5.7%.
| Express FC win | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.8% |
| UPDF win | 25.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.29 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.9% |
| Express FC score first | 49.3% |
| UPDF score first | 38.6% |
| Express FC clean sheet | 41.3% |
| UPDF clean sheet | 27.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678277 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Express FC are favourites. They win 45.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.8% for the draw and 25.1% for UPDF. Including the draw, Express FC avoid defeat 74.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.1% of simulations. Express FC keep a clean sheet 41.3% of the time and UPDF 27.8%.
The simulations average 2.18 goals: 1.29 for Express FC and 0.89 for UPDF. Over 1.5 goals lands 64.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 37.3% and over 3.5 goals 17.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.