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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Faversham Town vs Newmarket Town 100,000 times. Newmarket Town won 38,724 of them (38.7%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Faversham Town won 38.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.4%, while the likeliest Newmarket Town win is 1-2 (7.9%). Both teams score in 68.7% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Newmarket Town winning 38.7% and gave this exact score 4.8%.
| Faversham Town win | 38.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Newmarket Town win | 38.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.78 – 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 68.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.4% |
| Faversham Town score first | 51% |
| Newmarket Town score first | 45.3% |
| Faversham Town clean sheet | 17.4% |
| Newmarket Town clean sheet | 17.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728309 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Newmarket Town are favourites. They win 38.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 38.6% for Faversham Town. Including the draw, Newmarket Town avoid defeat 61.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Newmarket Town win is 1-2 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.7% of simulations. Faversham Town keep a clean sheet 17.4% of the time and Newmarket Town 17.4%.
The simulations average 3.56 goals: 1.78 for Faversham Town and 1.78 for Newmarket Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 87% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.5% and over 3.5 goals 47.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.