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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fazendense vs Estrela Amadora 100,000 times. Estrela Amadora won 87,177 of them (87.2%), the draw came up 8.9% of the time and Fazendense won 3.9%. The most likely score is 0-3 (13.1%), and both teams score in 37.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Estrela Amadora winning 87.2% and gave this exact score 6.6%.
| Fazendense win | 3.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 8.9% |
| Estrela Amadora win | 87.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.51 – 3.09 |
| Both teams to score | 37.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.3% |
| Fazendense score first | 13.2% |
| Estrela Amadora score first | 84.2% |
| Fazendense clean sheet | 4.9% |
| Estrela Amadora clean sheet | 60.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725908 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Estrela Amadora are favourites. They win 87.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.9% for the draw and 3.9% for Fazendense. Including the draw, Estrela Amadora avoid defeat 96.1% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (13%) and 0-4 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 37.8% of simulations. Fazendense keep a clean sheet 4.9% of the time and Estrela Amadora 60.1%.
The simulations average 3.61 goals: 0.51 for Fazendense and 3.09 for Estrela Amadora. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.2% and over 3.5 goals 48.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.