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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna 100,000 times. AFC Eskilstuna won 40,180 of them (40.2%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and FBK Karlstad won 36.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest AFC Eskilstuna win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 63.3% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.5% and gave this exact score 6.5%.
| FBK Karlstad win | 36.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| AFC Eskilstuna win | 40.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 63.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.9% |
| FBK Karlstad score first | 47.4% |
| AFC Eskilstuna score first | 48% |
| FBK Karlstad clean sheet | 19.6% |
| AFC Eskilstuna clean sheet | 21.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420542328 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AFC Eskilstuna are favourites. They win 40.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 36.3% for FBK Karlstad. Including the draw, AFC Eskilstuna avoid defeat 63.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest AFC Eskilstuna win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.3% of simulations. FBK Karlstad keep a clean sheet 19.6% of the time and AFC Eskilstuna 21.4%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 1.56 for FBK Karlstad and 1.65 for AFC Eskilstuna. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.9% and over 3.5 goals 39.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.