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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Barcelona vs Feyenoord 100,000 times. FC Barcelona won 89,160 of them (89.2%), the draw came up 6.9% of the time and Feyenoord won 4%. The most likely score is 3-0 (8.8%), and both teams score in 53.8% of simulations.
Full time 5-1. Before kick-off the simulations had FC Barcelona winning 89.2% and gave this exact score 5.3%.
| FC Barcelona win | 89.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.9% |
| Feyenoord win | 4% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.92 – 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 68.7% |
| FC Barcelona score first | 83.8% |
| Feyenoord score first | 15.3% |
| FC Barcelona clean sheet | 44.8% |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 2.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673884 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Barcelona are favourites. They win 89.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.9% for the draw and 4% for Feyenoord. Including the draw, FC Barcelona avoid defeat 96% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations. FC Barcelona keep a clean sheet 44.8% of the time and Feyenoord 2.2%.
The simulations average 4.73 goals: 3.92 for FC Barcelona and 0.81 for Feyenoord. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 84.3% and over 3.5 goals 68.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.