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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Bayern München vs Magdeburg 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 90,511 of them (90.5%), the draw came up 7.2% of the time and Magdeburg won 2.3%. The most likely score is 4-0 (9.1%), and both teams score in 51.9% of simulations.
Full time 6-1. Before kick-off the simulations had FC Bayern München winning 90.5% and gave this exact score 3.8%.
| FC Bayern München win | 90.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.2% |
| Magdeburg win | 2.3% |
| Most likely score | 4-0 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 4.12 – 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 70.7% |
| FC Bayern München score first | 81.4% |
| Magdeburg score first | 17.1% |
| FC Bayern München clean sheet | 47.8% |
| Magdeburg clean sheet | 1.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710475 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 90.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.2% for the draw and 2.3% for Magdeburg. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 97.7% of the time.
4-0, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9%) and 5-0 (7.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations. FC Bayern München keep a clean sheet 47.8% of the time and Magdeburg 1.9%.
The simulations average 4.87 goals: 4.12 for FC Bayern München and 0.74 for Magdeburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 95.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 85.6% and over 3.5 goals 70.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.