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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Bayern München W vs Real Madrid W 100,000 times. FC Bayern München W won 65,317 of them (65.3%), the draw came up 19% of the time and Real Madrid W won 15.7%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 19% and gave this exact score 5.2%.
| FC Bayern München W win | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19% |
| Real Madrid W win | 15.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.45 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.8% |
| FC Bayern München W score first | 65.2% |
| Real Madrid W score first | 31.3% |
| FC Bayern München W clean sheet | 32.6% |
| Real Madrid W clean sheet | 9.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710562 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München W are favourites. They win 65.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19% for the draw and 15.7% for Real Madrid W. Including the draw, FC Bayern München W avoid defeat 84.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. FC Bayern München W keep a clean sheet 32.6% of the time and Real Madrid W 9.1%.
The simulations average 3.58 goals: 2.45 for FC Bayern München W and 1.13 for Real Madrid W. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.9% and over 3.5 goals 47.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.