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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano 100,000 times. Cienciano won 44,901 of them (44.9%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and FC Cajamarca won 30%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Cienciano win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Cienciano winning 44.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| FC Cajamarca win | 30% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Cienciano win | 44.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% |
| FC Cajamarca score first | 43.3% |
| Cienciano score first | 51% |
| FC Cajamarca clean sheet | 19% |
| Cienciano clean sheet | 26.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420580046 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cienciano are favourites. They win 44.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 30% for FC Cajamarca. Including the draw, Cienciano avoid defeat 70% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Cienciano win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. FC Cajamarca keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Cienciano 26.6%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.34 for FC Cajamarca and 1.68 for Cienciano. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.