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Virsliga · 100,000 simulations

FC Daugavpils vs Auda prediction

We simulated FC Daugavpils vs Auda 100,000 times. Auda won 42,181 of them (42.2%), the draw came up 24% of the time and FC Daugavpils won 33.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Auda win is 0-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations.

FC Daugavpils badge
FC Daugavpils Stadions Celtnieks
2–1 Full time
Auda badge
Auda Away
33.8% 33,801 wins
24% Draw
42.2% 42,181 wins
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.52
Likeliest score
1-1 11.2% Top Auda win: 0-1 9.2%
Both score
56.6%
Over 2.5
54.1%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had FC Daugavpils winning 33.8% and gave this exact score 7.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Vasilijs Mordatenko Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
FC Daugavpils vs Auda live score, stats & lineups

FC Daugavpils vs Auda in numbers 100,000 simulations · Virsliga · Monday 19 October, 16:00

FC Daugavpils vs Auda simulation probabilities
FC Daugavpils win33.8%
Draw24%
Auda win42.2%
Most likely score1-1 (11.2%)
Expected goals1.33 – 1.52
Both teams to score56.6%
Over 1.5 goals77.1%
Over 2.5 goals54.1%
Over 3.5 goals32%
FC Daugavpils score first47.1%
Auda score first47.2%
FC Daugavpils clean sheet22.2%
Auda clean sheet26.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420519509
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Daugavpils vs Auda prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Auda are favourites. They win 42.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 33.8% for FC Daugavpils. Including the draw, Auda avoid defeat 66.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Daugavpils vs Auda?

1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Auda win is 0-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations. FC Daugavpils keep a clean sheet 22.2% of the time and Auda 26.7%.

How many goals will there be in FC Daugavpils vs Auda?

The simulations average 2.85 goals: 1.33 for FC Daugavpils and 1.52 for Auda. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.1% and over 3.5 goals 32%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.