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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev 100,000 times. Tallinna Kalev won 64,707 of them (64.7%), the draw came up 16.5% of the time and FC Tallinn won 18.8%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.4%), and both teams score in 68.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had FC Tallinn winning 18.8% and gave this exact score 2.9%.
| FC Tallinn win | 18.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.5% |
| Tallinna Kalev win | 64.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.39 – 2.67 |
| Both teams to score | 68.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 57.3% |
| FC Tallinn score first | 35.6% |
| Tallinna Kalev score first | 62.9% |
| FC Tallinn clean sheet | 7.3% |
| Tallinna Kalev clean sheet | 25.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420518101 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tallinna Kalev are favourites. They win 64.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.5% for the draw and 18.8% for FC Tallinn. Including the draw, Tallinna Kalev avoid defeat 81.2% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.4% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.9% of simulations. FC Tallinn keep a clean sheet 7.3% of the time and Tallinna Kalev 25.3%.
The simulations average 4.05 goals: 1.39 for FC Tallinn and 2.67 for Tallinna Kalev. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 76.5% and over 3.5 goals 57.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.