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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe 100,000 times. Fenerbahçe won 67,956 of them (68%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Göztepe won 13.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.6%), and both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.
| Fenerbahçe win | 68% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Göztepe win | 13.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.42 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 57.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.2% |
| Fenerbahçe score first | 68.6% |
| Göztepe score first | 27.4% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 37.4% |
| Göztepe clean sheet | 9.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643224 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fenerbahçe are favourites. They win 68% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 13.6% for Göztepe. Including the draw, Fenerbahçe avoid defeat 86.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet 37.4% of the time and Göztepe 9.4%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 2.42 for Fenerbahçe and 0.99 for Göztepe. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.7% and over 3.5 goals 44.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.