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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Floresta vs Botafogo PB 100,000 times. Floresta won 44,503 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 30.8% of the time and Botafogo PB won 24.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16.6%), and both teams score in 36.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 30.8% and gave this exact score 12.9%.
| Floresta win | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.8% |
| Botafogo PB win | 24.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 0.78 |
| Both teams to score | 36.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 13.3% |
| Floresta score first | 52.5% |
| Botafogo PB score first | 32.9% |
| Floresta clean sheet | 46% |
| Botafogo PB clean sheet | 31.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420685125 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Floresta are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.8% for the draw and 24.8% for Botafogo PB. Including the draw, Floresta avoid defeat 75.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 16.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (14.7%) and 1-1 (12.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36.9% of simulations. Floresta keep a clean sheet 46% of the time and Botafogo PB 31.7%.
The simulations average 1.94 goals: 1.16 for Floresta and 0.78 for Botafogo PB. Over 1.5 goals lands 57.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 30.7% and over 3.5 goals 13.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.