NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
6 Nov 2026
🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
NEW
Introducing The Pulse Feature For Insights
6 Nov 2026
It lives at the top of the fixture feed and will show you all of the interesting data it has found across the many tools and metrics on Odd…
OFFER
Leave A Review For A Chance To Win £50!
5 Nov 2026
This fall, four OA users will win £50 Amazon vouchers. All you need to do is leave an honest review for OddAlerts that will help any potent…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Floresta vs Santa Cruz 100,000 times. The draw was the most common result at 35.7%, with Floresta on 35.2% and Santa Cruz on 29.2%. The most likely score is 0-0 (18.5%), and both teams score in 35.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 35.7% and gave this exact score 14.3%.
| Floresta win | 35.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 35.7% |
| Santa Cruz win | 29.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (18.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.94 – 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 35.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 10.5% |
| Floresta score first | 44.2% |
| Santa Cruz score first | 37.7% |
| Floresta clean sheet | 43.9% |
| Santa Cruz clean sheet | 39.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420685091 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Floresta are favourites. They win 35.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 35.7% for the draw and 29.2% for Santa Cruz. Including the draw, Floresta avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 18.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.7%) and 1-1 (14.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.3% of simulations. Floresta keep a clean sheet 43.9% of the time and Santa Cruz 39.4%.
The simulations average 1.77 goals: 0.94 for Floresta and 0.83 for Santa Cruz. Over 1.5 goals lands 53.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 26.1% and over 3.5 goals 10.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.