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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 100,000 times. Sarpsborg 08 won 89,837 of them (89.8%), the draw came up 7% of the time and Follo won 3.1%. The most likely score is 0-3 (10.4%), and both teams score in 47.6% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Sarpsborg 08 winning 89.8% and gave this exact score 8.4%.
| Follo win | 3.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7% |
| Sarpsborg 08 win | 89.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 0.67 – 3.79 |
| Both teams to score | 47.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 64.3% |
| Follo score first | 17.6% |
| Sarpsborg 08 score first | 81.2% |
| Follo clean sheet | 2.5% |
| Sarpsborg 08 clean sheet | 51.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687108 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sarpsborg 08 are favourites. They win 89.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7% for the draw and 3.1% for Follo. Including the draw, Sarpsborg 08 avoid defeat 96.9% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.6% of simulations. Follo keep a clean sheet 2.5% of the time and Sarpsborg 08 51.3%.
The simulations average 4.46 goals: 0.67 for Follo and 3.79 for Sarpsborg 08. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 81.4% and over 3.5 goals 64.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.