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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellín 100,000 times. Independiente Medellín won 38,188 of them (38.2%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Fortaleza CEIF won 33.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Independiente Medellín win is 0-1 (10.3%). Both teams score in 50.5% of simulations.
| Fortaleza CEIF win | 33.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Independiente Medellín win | 38.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.20 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 50.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Fortaleza CEIF score first | 44.2% |
| Independiente Medellín score first | 46.9% |
| Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet | 28% |
| Independiente Medellín clean sheet | 30.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420567198 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Independiente Medellín are favourites. They win 38.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 33.9% for Fortaleza CEIF. Including the draw, Independiente Medellín avoid defeat 66.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest Independiente Medellín win is 0-1 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.5% of simulations. Fortaleza CEIF keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Independiente Medellín 30.6%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.20 for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.29 for Independiente Medellín. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.1% and over 3.5 goals 24%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.