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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fortaleza U20 vs Ceará U20 100,000 times. Fortaleza U20 won 48,526 of them (48.5%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Ceará U20 won 25.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Fortaleza U20 win is 1-0 (12%). Both teams score in 49.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 26.2% and gave this exact score 4.6%.
| Fortaleza U20 win | 48.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Ceará U20 win | 25.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 49.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.8% |
| Fortaleza U20 score first | 53.2% |
| Ceará U20 score first | 38.1% |
| Fortaleza U20 clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Ceará U20 clean sheet | 22.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710390 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fortaleza U20 are favourites. They win 48.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 25.2% for Ceará U20. Including the draw, Fortaleza U20 avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Fortaleza U20 win is 1-0 (12%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.2% of simulations. Fortaleza U20 keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and Ceará U20 22.5%.
The simulations average 2.52 goals: 1.51 for Fortaleza U20 and 1.01 for Ceará U20. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46% and over 3.5 goals 24.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.