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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ 100,000 times. Regar-TadAZ won 86,403 of them (86.4%), the draw came up 10.3% of the time and Fortis won 3.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (17.3%), and both teams score in 26.4% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Fortis winning 3.3%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Fortis win | 3.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.3% |
| Regar-TadAZ win | 86.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (17.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.34 – 2.69 |
| Both teams to score | 26.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.9% |
| Fortis score first | 11.3% |
| Regar-TadAZ score first | 83.8% |
| Fortis clean sheet | 7.3% |
| Regar-TadAZ clean sheet | 71.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420661039 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Regar-TadAZ are favourites. They win 86.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.3% for the draw and 3.3% for Fortis. Including the draw, Regar-TadAZ avoid defeat 96.7% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 17.3% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (15.3%) and 0-1 (13.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 26.4% of simulations. Fortis keep a clean sheet 7.3% of the time and Regar-TadAZ 71.3%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 0.34 for Fortis and 2.69 for Regar-TadAZ. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.