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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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- Top Picks Section on Fixtures - New Overview Section on Index - More Leagues Added (FA Cup, MLS, Belgian Pro, Etc) - Improved Layout on D…
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fram vs ÍA 100,000 times. Fram won 47,389 of them (47.4%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and ÍA won 30.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 7.8%, while the likeliest Fram win is 2-1 (7.6%). Both teams score in 75.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-4. Before kick-off the simulations had ÍA winning 30.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Fram win | 47.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% |
| ÍA win | 30.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (7.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.29 – 1.84 |
| Both teams to score | 75.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.9% |
| Fram score first | 52.7% |
| ÍA score first | 44.6% |
| Fram clean sheet | 16.3% |
| ÍA clean sheet | 10.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711685 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fram are favourites. They win 47.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 30.9% for ÍA. Including the draw, Fram avoid defeat 69.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 7.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Fram win is 2-1 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 75.9% of simulations. Fram keep a clean sheet 16.3% of the time and ÍA 10.6%.
The simulations average 4.13 goals: 2.29 for Fram and 1.84 for ÍA. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.6% and over 3.5 goals 58.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.