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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated France vs Iraq 100,000 times. France won 89,439 of them (89.4%), the draw came up 7.7% of the time and Iraq won 2.9%. The most likely score is 3-0 (13.6%), and both teams score in 35.5% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had France winning 89.4% and gave this exact score 13.6%.
| France win | 89.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.7% |
| Iraq win | 2.9% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 3.29 – 0.46 |
| Both teams to score | 35.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.3% |
| France score first | 83.3% |
| Iraq score first | 14.3% |
| France clean sheet | 63% |
| Iraq clean sheet | 4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420562894 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
France are favourites. They win 89.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.7% for the draw and 2.9% for Iraq. Including the draw, France avoid defeat 97.2% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.7%) and 4-0 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.5% of simulations. France keep a clean sheet 63% of the time and Iraq 4%.
The simulations average 3.76 goals: 3.29 for France and 0.46 for Iraq. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.7% and over 3.5 goals 51.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.