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  1. Simulations
  2. FS Jelgava vs Riga
Virsliga · 100,000 simulations

FS Jelgava vs Riga prediction

We simulated FS Jelgava vs Riga 100,000 times. Riga won 74,285 of them (74.3%), the draw came up 15.5% of the time and FS Jelgava won 10.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12%), and both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.

FS Jelgava badge
FS Jelgava Zemgales Olimpiskā centra
0–1 Full time
Riga badge
Riga Away
10.3% 10,247 wins
15.5% Draw
74.3% 74,285 wins
Expected goals
0.76 – 2.44
Likeliest score
0-2 12%
Both score
47.9%
Over 2.5
61.7%

Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Riga winning 74.3% and gave this exact score 10.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jevgenijs Keziks Zemgales Olimpiskā centra, Jelgava
FS Jelgava vs Riga live score, stats & lineups

FS Jelgava vs Riga in numbers 100,000 simulations · Virsliga · Saturday 19 September, 14:00

FS Jelgava vs Riga simulation probabilities
FS Jelgava win10.3%
Draw15.5%
Riga win74.3%
Most likely score0-2 (12%)
Expected goals0.76 – 2.44
Both teams to score47.9%
Over 1.5 goals82.2%
Over 2.5 goals61.7%
Over 3.5 goals39.7%
FS Jelgava score first24.6%
Riga score first71.4%
FS Jelgava clean sheet9.1%
Riga clean sheet46.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420519532
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FS Jelgava vs Riga prediction FAQs

Who will win FS Jelgava vs Riga?

Riga are favourites. They win 74.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.5% for the draw and 10.3% for FS Jelgava. Including the draw, Riga avoid defeat 89.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FS Jelgava vs Riga?

0-2, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.4%) and 0-3 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FS Jelgava vs Riga?

Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. FS Jelgava keep a clean sheet 9.1% of the time and Riga 46.9%.

How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Riga?

The simulations average 3.20 goals: 0.76 for FS Jelgava and 2.44 for Riga. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.7% and over 3.5 goals 39.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.