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Segunda Division RFEF: Group 5 · 100,000 simulations

Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction

We simulated Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda 100,000 times. Rayo Majadahonda won 42,927 of them (42.9%), the draw came up 29.8% of the time and Fuenlabrada won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.8%, while the likeliest Rayo Majadahonda win is 0-1 (12.3%). Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations.

Fuenlabrada badge
Fuenlabrada Estadio Fernando Torres
0–0 Full time
Rayo Majadahonda badge
Rayo Majadahonda Away
27.3% 27,257 wins
29.8% Draw
42.9% 42,927 wins
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.30
Likeliest score
1-1 13.8% Top Rayo win: 0-1 12.3%
Both score
46.1%
Over 2.5
40%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 29.8% and gave this exact score 11.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Alberto Gómez Lameiro Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda live score, stats & lineups

Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda in numbers 100,000 simulations · Segunda Division RFEF: Group 5 · Sunday 26 April, 11:00

Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda simulation probabilities
Fuenlabrada win27.3%
Draw29.8%
Rayo Majadahonda win42.9%
Most likely score1-1 (13.8%)
Expected goals0.98 – 1.30
Both teams to score46.1%
Over 1.5 goals67.3%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals19.9%
Fuenlabrada score first38.5%
Rayo Majadahonda score first50.6%
Fuenlabrada clean sheet27.5%
Rayo Majadahonda clean sheet37.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420473339
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction FAQs

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Rayo Majadahonda are favourites. They win 42.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.8% for the draw and 27.3% for Fuenlabrada. Including the draw, Rayo Majadahonda avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?

1-1, which came up in 13.8% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (12.3%) and 0-0 (11.3%). The likeliest Rayo Majadahonda win is 0-1 (12.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations. Fuenlabrada keep a clean sheet 27.5% of the time and Rayo Majadahonda 37.7%.

How many goals will there be in Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?

The simulations average 2.29 goals: 0.98 for Fuenlabrada and 1.30 for Rayo Majadahonda. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40% and over 3.5 goals 19.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.